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Local media research firm Borrell Associates has forecasted local display advertising expenditure to grow by 2.5 percent, from around $12 million in 2007 to $12.3 million in 2008.

Borrell also believes local online advertising will comprise a larger share of overall online ad spending in 2009, when local online ad revenues are expected to increase 11 percent over 2008 to be around $13.6 million.

Borrell expects local paid search advertising to grow almost 22 percent in 2009, while national paid search is expected to lose share, dropping from $12.4 million this year to $9.3 million next year.

Source: Kate Kaye, “Local Advertisers Are Glimmer of Hope for Web Ad Industry in Downturn”, The ClickZ Network, October 29, 2008

Local media research firm Borrell Associates has forecasted local display advertising expenditure to grow by 2.5 percent, from around $12 million in 2007 to $12.3 million in 2008.

Borrell also believes local online advertising will comprise a larger share of overall online ad spending in 2009, when local online ad revenues are expected to increase 11 percent over 2008 to be around $13.6 million.

Borrell expects local paid search advertising to grow almost 22 percent in 2009, while national paid search is expected to lose share, dropping from $12.4 million this year to $9.3 million next year.

Source: Kate Kaye, “Local Advertisers Are Glimmer of Hope for Web Ad Industry in Downturn”, The ClickZ Network, October 29, 2008

In August, eMarketer projected online advertising expenditure to grow by 16 percent between 2008 and 2009 - from $24.5 billion to $28.5 billion. Due to the current financial crisis and economic recession that have gripped, or are about to grip, many Western economies, eMarketer plans to revise downward its online ad spending prediction.

But while online spending may be more subdued in the coming year or so, eMarketer still expects it to grow significantly over the coming few years. This is due to seven (7) reasons that make the Internet an increasingly desirable advertising medium. The Internet:

1. Is more measurable and accountable than traditional channels.
2. Allows for better, more-granular targeting than other forms of media.
3. Is interactive, allowing for a higher degree of engagement with prospects and customers.
4. Accounts for more media time among various, particularly younger, consumers.
5. Taps into the ‘consumer-in-control movement’, enabling marketers to join consumers’ conversations.
6. Features web 2.0 phenomena such as blogs, social networks and Twitter that provide marketers with the ability to insight into consumer behavior and attitudes.
7. Allows marketers to reach prospects throughout the entire consumer buying cycle, from initial awareness, through pre-information-gathering, to purchase and post-sale support.

Source: Geoff Ramsey, “Online Ad Spending Will Keep Growing”, eMarketer, October 27, 2008

ClickZ reports that research by the Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) and PricewaterhouseCoopers reveals a decline in the growth rate of online advertising expenditure.

In the first half of 2008, $11.5 billion was spent on online ads. While this constitutes an increase of over 15 percent over the same period in 2007, it’s much lower than the 37 percent increase in the first half of 2006 compared with 2005.

Also, while online ad spending in the second quarter of 2008 was 13 percent the second quarter of 2007, it was 0.3 percent lower than what it was in the first quarter of this year. In other words, online ad growth looks to be dipping.

Nevertheless, online spending was still significant in the first half of the year. Search engine ad spending (about 44 percent of all online ad spending) grew to $5.1 billion, up 24 percent over the initial half of 2007, while display spending (33 percent of all online ad spending) rose by 19 percent to $3.8 billion in the first half of this year.

Most display spending was devoted to banner ads (21 percent). The remainder was devoted to rich media (7 percent), video (3 percent) and sponsorships (2 percent). Meanwhile, spending on online classifieds decreased from 17 percent to 14 percent in the first half of the year and lead generation ad spending dropped from 8 percent to 7 percent of budgets. Email remained steady at 2 percent of online ad spending.

Finally, advertisers continue to embrace performance-based ad models. Performance-based ads, such as cost-per-click or cost-per-acquisition ads were up for 52 percent of ad spending in the first six months of this year, up from 50 percent in the first half of 2007. Meanwhile, CPM-based ad spending dropped slightly from 45 percent to 44 percent.

Source: Kate Kaye, “Online Ad Growth Declines in First Half 2008″, The ClickZ Network, October 7, 2008

Print advertising expenditure in the U.S. declined by 16 percent in the second quarter of 2008, dropping to $8.8 billion. According to Erick Schonfeld of TechCrunch, this marks the ninth consecutive quarter in which print revenues have declined, and at an-ever accelerating rate at that.

As a whole, the U.S. newspaper industry earned $1.7 billion LESS in print ad sales in the second quarter of 2008 than it earned in the second quarter of 2007. In terms of the first half of the year, the industry earned $3.1 billion less. In fact, revenue levels are down to 1995 levels.

To make matters worse, online newspaper ad sales were just $777 million in the second quarter, representing a decline of 2.4 percent compared with the year before.

TechCrunch points out that bundling print and online ad sales isn’t likely to be doing newspapers any favors. Advertisers used to buying bundles will typically drop the entire bundle when making budget cuts, rather than carve off print or online (as the case may be).

Actually, the bundling itself is surely another reason for lower revenues, since bundles typically involve a discount on the combined off-line and online offering.

Source: Erick Schonfeld, “Negative Momentum: Newspaper Ad Revenues Gaining Downhill Speed (Even Online Is Declining)”, TechCrunch, September 5, 2008